Boris Johnson denied recent parliamentary vote on Brexit deal – Australian Monetary Assessment

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Boris Johnson denied recent parliamentary vote on Brexit deal – Australian Monetary Assessment
Hans van Leeuwen

London | British Prime Minister Boris Johnson became dealt a recent Brexit blow on Monday when the House of Commons speaker quashed his allege to enhance from a weekend defeat and push his Brexit deal by parliament.

House of Commons Speaker John Bercow says he’ll no longer enable a Brexit vote on Monday. AP

A Brexit delay beyond Mr Johnson’s pledged “originate or die” date of October 31 is starting up to sight inevitable, however the federal government has vowed to resume its parliamentary offensive on Tuesday because the stakes ratchet ever increased.

The Speaker, John Bercow, acknowledged a repeat vote on the scuttle to approve the Brexit deal on Monday could be “repetitive and disorderly”, as there had been no commerce within the circumstances surrounding the scuttle since it became rejected on Saturday.

The guideline banning repeat votes goes again to 1604, and became invoked loads of times all by Theresa Might well well additionally’s tenure.

“We’re disappointed that the Speaker has denied us the chance to preserve it up the need of the of us. The general public need Brexit achieved,” Mr Johnson’s spokesman told the media.

Mr Bercow became unrepentant. “If the federal government occupy received the numbers, the federal government can occupy their procedure, and it’s now not for the Speaker to intervene,” he told parliament.

As the Brexit clock ticks in opposition to October 31, the action now shifts to Tuesday, when Mr Johnson will introduce the technical enabling guidelines for his Brexit deal. The draft invoice became unveiled on Monday evening (early Tuesday morning AEDT), earlier than initial votes on Tuesday.

Mr Johnson is hoping to ram that complex invoice by your entire parliamentary hoops with unparalleled tempo this week – and thus peaceful raise his promised “no ifs or buts” pledge to extract Britain from the European Union on Halloween.

He wants MPs to agree on Tuesday to a timetable allowing him to speed the invoice by in three days. If he loses that procedural vote, Brexit will absolutely can occupy to be delayed.

If he will get his timetable, there’ll then be a vote to enable the invoice’s introduction – a so-known as “second reading vote”. That shall be a proxy vote on Mr Johnson’s deal, even though no longer a conclusive one.

If he wins that vote, the invoice moves into “committee stage”, where MPs from opposition events will are trying to amend it, including recent proposals and even demanding a second referendum.

In the occasion that they succeed in reshaping the invoice, that would doubtlessly kick Brexit into the long grass and accumulate irresistible stress for a November election – assuming the EU agrees to Mr Johnson’s forced request to delay Brexit.

European leaders had been on Monday but to formally acknowledge to Mr Johson’s Sunday (AEDT) request to set up off Britain’s departure from the bloc – a request he became forced to arrangement by a law that opposition and revolt Conservative MPs passed closing month in opposition to his needs.

Mr Johnson shall be hoping the EU rejects the request, which would push MPs correct into a more than just a few between his deal or a doubtlessly disruptive no-deal Brexit.

Expectations are that the Europeans will as a exchange conform to about a form of deferral, even though it’s now not obvious for how long, or what prerequisites could be hooked up to it.

The date [Oct. 31] became no longer selected by the British public or the British government. It became … plucked out of the air.

— Expelled Conservative MP Ken Clarke

They could are trying to engineer a response that lets in for a delay, but tries to nudge parliament into discovering a technique forward within the coming few days.

Mr Johnson had hoped to ranking MPs to again his Brexit deal, negotiated with Brussels at the 11th hour closing week, at a certain parliamentary sitting on Saturday.

Nonetheless a revolt Conservative MP hooked up an modification to Mr Johnson’s scuttle, which became passed by a narrow majority, which had the fabricate of kicking the option into this week and forcing Mr Johnson to request a Brexit delay from the EU.

Mr Johnson appears to be like to be like close to having the numbers to pass his deal, but now merely wants a chance to in actuality raise the vote to a head.

The ask then is whether or no longer sufficient time stays earlier than Thursday week to pass your entire guidelines, ranking the European Parliament’s approval, and follow Britain’s treaty ratification processes.

Even though Mr Johnson will get his Brexit deal vote and wins it, there could can occupy to be a “technical delay” of loads of weeks. That would occupy the knock-on fabricate of pushing a snap election into the principal quarter of next year. The assorted of a straight three-month delay would pave the path to a November election.

Ken Clarke, who became the longest-serving Conservative MP in parliament till his expulsion as a europhile revolt closing month, acknowledged there became no motive to sever to the Halloween closing date.

“The date became no longer selected by the British public or the British government. It became a compromise selected by [French] President [Emmanuel] Macron and others and became plucked out of the air,” he told parliament.

Labour is now leading a push for a second referendum – and could are trying to power that into the guidelines MPs will debate this week – but it’s unclear whether or no longer there’s a parliamentary majority for that.

Or no longer additionally it is unclear if there’s a majority for a separate modification to Mr Johnson’s guidelines stating that Britain can occupy to dwell in a customs union with the EU. If that received up it could doubtlessly void the most recent deal, and would at any rate hump one in every of Mr Johnson’s few unbreakable red strains.

The continuing machinations in parliament are a setback for Mr Johnson procedurally, but within the long interval of time could again him politically.

“Every time Boris Johnson does something most of parliament would now not fancy he goes up within the polls and Labour will get dragged down,” one astute caller told TalkRadio. “Whatever arrangement his personnel are going for, it appears to be like to be working.”

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Hans van Leeuwen covers British and European politics, economics and commerce from London. He has labored as a reporter, editor and policy adviser in Sydney, Canberra, Hanoi and London. Join with Hans on Twitter. Email Hans at hans.vanleeuwen@afr.com

Hans van Leeuwen

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